Features Associated with Recurrence Beyond 5 Years After Nephrectomy and Nephron-Sparing Surgery for Renal Cell Carcinoma: Development and Internal Validation of a Risk Model (PRELANE score) to Predict Late Recurrence Based on a Large Multicenter Database (CORONA/SATURN Project)

Brookman-May, Sabine and May, Matthias and Shariat, Shahrokh F. and Xylinas, Evanguelos and Stief, Christian and Zigeuner, Richard and Chromecki, Thomas and Burger, Maximilian and Wieland, Wolf F. and Cindolo, Luca and Schips, Luigi and De Cobelli, Ottavio and Rocco, Bernardo and De Nunzio, Cosimo and Feciche, Bogdan and Truss, Michael and Gilfrich, Christian and Pahernik, Sascha and Hohenfellner, Markus and Zastrow, Stefan and Wirth, Manfred P. and Novara, Giacomo and Carini, Marco and Minervini, Andrea and Simeone, Claudio and Antonelli, Alessandro and Mirone, Vincenzo and Longo, Nicola and Simonato, Alchiede and Carmignani, Giorgio and Ficarra, Vincenzo (2013) Features Associated with Recurrence Beyond 5 Years After Nephrectomy and Nephron-Sparing Surgery for Renal Cell Carcinoma: Development and Internal Validation of a Risk Model (PRELANE score) to Predict Late Recurrence Based on a Large Multicenter Database (CORONA/SATURN Project). EUROPEAN UROLOGY, 64 (3). pp. 472-477. ISSN 0302-2838,

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Abstract

Background: Approximately 10-20% of recurrences in patients treated with nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma (RCC) develop beyond 5 yr after surgery (late recurrence). Objective: To determine features associated with late recurrence. Design, setting, and participants: A total of 5009 patients from a multicenter database comprising 13 107 RCC patients treated surgically had a minimum recurrence-free survival of 60 mo (median follow-up [FU]: 105 mo [range: 78-135]); at last FU, 4699 were disease free (median FU: 103 mo [range: 78-134]), and 310 patients (6.2%) experienced disease recurrence (median FU: 120 mo [range: 93-149]). Interventions: Patients underwent radical nephrectomy or nephron-sparing surgery. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: Multivariable regression analyses identified features associated with late recurrence. Cox regression analyses evaluated the association of features with cancer-specific mortality (CSM). Results and limitations: Lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (odds ratio [OR]: 3.07; p < 0.001), Fuhrman grade 3-4 (OR: 1.60; p = 0.001), and pT stage >pT1 (OR: 2.28; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with late recurrence. Based on accordant regression coefficients, these parameters were weighted with point values (LVI: 2 points; Fuhrman grade 3-4: 1 point, pT stage >1: 2 points), and a risk score was developed for the prediction of late recurrences. The calculated values (0 points: late recurrence risk 3.1%; 1-3 points: 8.4%; 4-5 points: 22.1%) resulted in a good-, intermediate-and poor-prognosis group(area under the curve value for the model: 70%; 95% confidence interval, 67-73). Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed LVI (HR: 2.75; p < 0.001), pT stage (HR: 1.24; p < 0.001), Fuhrman grade (HR: 2.40; p < 0.001), age (HR: 1.01; p < 0.001), and gender (HR: 0.71; p = 0.027) to influence CSM significantly. Limitations are based on the multicenter and retrospective study design. Conclusions: LVI, Fuhrman grade 3/4, and a tumor stage>pT1 are independent predictors of late recurrence after at least 5 yr from surgery in patients with RCC. We developed a risk score that allows for prognostic stratification and individualized aftercare of patients with regard to counseling, follow-up scheduling, and clinical trial design. (C) 2012 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B. V. All rights reserved.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: POSTOPERATIVE PROGNOSTIC NOMOGRAM; RADICAL NEPHRECTOMY; KIDNEY CANCER; SURVEILLANCE; GUIDELINES; Renal cell carcinoma; Late recurrence; Prognostic parameters; Risk score; Cancer-specific mortality; Nephrectomy
Subjects: 600 Technology > 610 Medical sciences Medicine
Divisions: Medicine > Lehrstuhl für Urologie
Depositing User: Dr. Gernot Deinzer
Date Deposited: 02 Apr 2020 05:02
Last Modified: 02 Apr 2020 05:02
URI: https://pred.uni-regensburg.de/id/eprint/16133

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