The impact of election results on the member numbers of the large parties in Bavaria and Germany

Schneider, Johannes J. and Hirtreiter, Christian (2005) The impact of election results on the member numbers of the large parties in Bavaria and Germany. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MODERN PHYSICS C, 16 (8). pp. 1165-1215. ISSN 0129-1831,

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Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the relations between the numbers of members of various parties and their results in the elections in Bavaria and in Germany. Deriving from the finding that there is a strong time-delayed correlation between these data-sets for the two largest parties in Bavaria, we show in a simulation based on the Sznajd model that such a correlation leads to very stable majorities, just as in Bavaria.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: SZNAJD SOCIOPHYSICS MODEL; MONTE-CARLO SIMULATIONS; DEMOCRACY; NETWORKS; LATTICE; sociophysics; time series analysis; Sznajd model; election results; party membership; trend analysis; correlation
Subjects: 500 Science > 530 Physics
500 Science > 540 Chemistry & allied sciences
Divisions: Chemistry and Pharmacy > Institut für Organische Chemie
Depositing User: Dr. Gernot Deinzer
Date Deposited: 03 May 2021 07:06
Last Modified: 03 May 2021 07:09
URI: https://pred.uni-regensburg.de/id/eprint/35811

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