Macroeconomic effects and frailties in the resolution of non-performing loans

Betz, Jennifer and Krueger, Steffen and Kellner, Ralf and Roesch, Daniel (2020) Macroeconomic effects and frailties in the resolution of non-performing loans. JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 112: 105212. ISSN 0378-4266, 1872-6372

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Abstract

Resolution of non-performing loans is a key determinant of bank credit default losses. This paper analyzes macroeconomic and systematic frailty effects of the default resolution time for a sample of 17,395 defaulted bank loans in USA, Great Britain, and Canada. We find that frailties have a huge impact on the resolution times. In a representative sample portfolio, median resolution times more than double in a recession when compared to an expansion. This leads to highly skewed distributions of losses and considerable systematic risk of the bank portfolio. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: EMPIRICAL-EVIDENCE; RECOVERY RATES; BASEL III; CHAPTER-11; BANKRUPTCY; DEFAULT; COSTS; DURATION; MODELS; Bank loans; Default resolution time; Credit risk; Systematic effects; Latent factors
Subjects: 600 Technology > 650 Management & auxiliary services
Divisions: Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre > Lehrstuhl für Statistik und Risikomanagement (Prof. Dr. Rösch)
Depositing User: Dr. Gernot Deinzer
Date Deposited: 29 Mar 2021 11:32
Last Modified: 29 Mar 2021 11:32
URI: https://pred.uni-regensburg.de/id/eprint/45009

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