Predicting stock returns from the pricing and mispricing of accounting fundamentals

Walkshaeusl, Christian (2021) Predicting stock returns from the pricing and mispricing of accounting fundamentals. QUARTERLY REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, 81. pp. 253-260. ISSN 1062-9769, 1878-4259

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Abstract

This paper examines Nichols et al.'s (2017) fundamentals-based valuation model that links share prices to accounting fundamentals in European equity markets. The model explains, on average, 69 % of the cross-sectional share price variation among European firms. Deviations of share prices from the model's fundamental value estimates hold unique information about subsequent stock returns that goes beyond established determinants of the cross-section. Firms identified as undervalued outperform firms perceived as overvalued by more than 0.54 % per month after controlling for firm size, book-to-market, operating profitability, investment, and momentum. Hence, the market seems to incorporate fundamental information only gradually. (c) 2021 Board of Trustees of the University of Illinois. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: CROSS-SECTION; DIVIDENDS; RISK; Return predictability; Fundamental analysis; Mispricing; Stock returns; European markets
Subjects: 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
Divisions: Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre > Lehrstuhl für Finanzdienstleistungen (Prof. Dr. Klaus Röder)
Depositing User: Dr. Gernot Deinzer
Date Deposited: 05 Jul 2022 09:50
Last Modified: 05 Jul 2022 09:50
URI: https://pred.uni-regensburg.de/id/eprint/46037

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