Rosbakh, Sergey and Pichler, Maximilian and Poschlod, Peter (2022) Machine-learning algorithms predict soil seed bank persistence from easily available traits. APPLIED VEGETATION SCIENCE, 25 (2): e12660. ISSN 1402-2001, 1654-109X
Full text not available from this repository. (Request a copy)Abstract
Question Soil seed banks (SSB), i.e. pools of viable seeds in the soil and on its surface, play a crucial role in plant biology and ecology. Information on seed persistence in soil is of great importance for fundamental and applied research, yet compiling data sets on this trait still requires enormous efforts. We asked whether the machine-learning (ML) approach could be used to infer and predict SSB properties of a regional flora based on easily available data. Location Eighteen calcareous grasslands located along an elevational gradient of almost 2000 m in the Bavarian Alps, Germany. Methods We compared a commonly used ML model (random forest) with a conventional model (linear regression model) as to their ability to predict SSB presence/absence and density using empirical data on SSB characteristics (environmental, seed traits and phylogenetic predictors). Further, we identified the most important determinants of seed persistence in soil for predicting qualitative and quantitative SSB characteristics using the ML approach. Results We demonstrated that the ML model predicts SSB characteristics significantly better than the linear regression model. A single set of predictors (either environment, or seed traits, or phylogenetic eigenvectors) was sufficient for the ML model to achieve high performance in predicting SSB characteristics. Importantly, we established that a few widely available SSB predictors can achieve high predictive power in the ML approach, suggesting a high flexibility of the developed approach for use in various study systems. Conclusions Our study provides a novel methodological approach that combines empirical knowledge on the determinants of SSB characteristics with a modern, flexible statistical approach based on ML. It clearly demonstrates that ML can be developed into a key tool to facilitate labor-intensive, costly and time-consuming functional trait research.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | STANDING VEGETATION; PLANT DIVERSITY; DISPERSAL; DORMANCY; SIZE; REGULARIZATION; RESTORATION; GRASSLANDS; DYNAMICS; SHAPE; artificial intelligence; persistence; predictive modeling; random forest; seed; soil; trait |
| Subjects: | 500 Science > 570 Life sciences |
| Divisions: | Biology, Preclinical Medicine > Institut für Pflanzenwissenschaften > Lehrstuhl für Ökologie und Naturschutzbiologie (Prof. Dr. Peter Poschlod) Biology, Preclinical Medicine > Institut für Pflanzenwissenschaften > Group Theoretical Ecology (Prof. Dr. Florian Hartig) |
| Depositing User: | Dr. Gernot Deinzer |
| Date Deposited: | 17 Oct 2023 14:31 |
| Last Modified: | 17 Oct 2023 14:31 |
| URI: | https://pred.uni-regensburg.de/id/eprint/56477 |
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