Rott, Hans (2022) 'A Formula Which I Derived Many Years Ago' Boole, Reichenbach and Popper on Probability and Conditionals. HISTORY AND PHILOSOPHY OF LOGIC, 43 (4). pp. 383-390. ISSN 0144-5340, 1464-5149
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This note presents a very brief history of the observation that the probability of the material conditional A superset of B is in general different from, but cannot be less than, the conditional probability of B given A. The difference between the two probabilities is significant for the interpretation of conditionals and for the possibility of inductive probability. It can be quantitatively specified in so-called 'excess laws' for which Popper appears to have claimed priority. I argue that such a priority claim should be rejected and credit should instead be given, if to anyone, to Boole and Reichenbach instead.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | LOGIC; Probability logic; conditional probability; conditionals; Boole; Reichenbach; Popper |
| Subjects: | 100 Philosophy & psychology > 100 Philosophy |
| Divisions: | Philosophy, Art History, History, and Humanities > Institut für Philosophie > Lehrstuhl für Theoretische Philosophie (Prof. Dr. phil Hans Rott) |
| Depositing User: | Dr. Gernot Deinzer |
| Date Deposited: | 17 Oct 2023 09:30 |
| Last Modified: | 17 Oct 2023 09:30 |
| URI: | https://pred.uni-regensburg.de/id/eprint/56485 |
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