Dismissal protection and long-term sickness absence: Evidence from a policy change

Guertzgen, Nicole and Hiesinger, Karolin (2025) Dismissal protection and long-term sickness absence: Evidence from a policy change. INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS, 64 (3). pp. 318-342. ISSN 0019-8676, 1468-232X

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Abstract

This paper studies whether a decline in employment protection reduces workers' long-term sickness absences (of >6 weeks). We exploit exogenous variation from a German policy change that shifted the threshold exempting small establishments from dismissal protection from 5 to 10 workers. Using German register data, we find that the reform significantly reduced employees' transitions into long-term sickness during their second year after being hired. This response is due to a behavioral rather than a compositional effect and is particularly pronounced among the medium-skilled and younger males. Further results indicate that the reform did not alter the probability of involuntary unemployment after sickness.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: EMPLOYMENT PROTECTION; ABSENTEEISM; PRESENTEEISM; WORK;
Subjects: 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
Divisions: Business, Economics and Information Systems > Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre und Ökonometrie > Lehrstuhl für Arbeitsmarktforschung (Professor Dr. Nicole Gürtzgen)
Depositing User: Dr. Gernot Deinzer
Date Deposited: 17 Mar 2026 09:38
Last Modified: 17 Mar 2026 09:38
URI: https://pred.uni-regensburg.de/id/eprint/64541

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